UC Davis
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#221
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#238
Pace68.1#203
Improvement+3.3#56

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#153
First Shot+3.7#63
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#336
Layup/Dunks-2.5#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#83
Freethrows+1.2#91
Improvement+3.7#25

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#309
First Shot-4.7#317
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#189
Layups/Dunks-2.3#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#285
Freethrows-0.4#220
Improvement-0.4#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 32 - 92 - 13
Quad 410 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 48-82 15%     0 - 1 -26.5 -18.2 -9.2
  Nov 14, 2019 324   Idaho W 65-64 75%     1 - 1 -9.5 -7.4 -2.0
  Nov 15, 2019 212   @ Arkansas St. L 67-80 35%     1 - 2 -12.6 -9.7 -2.5
  Nov 17, 2019 252   VMI L 84-89 2OT 57%     1 - 3 -10.3 -4.4 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2019 199   Sacramento St. L 51-61 44%     1 - 4 -11.9 -14.2 +1.1
  Nov 23, 2019 297   @ Portland L 62-72 54%     1 - 5 -14.7 -5.1 -10.6
  Nov 26, 2019 144   @ California L 66-72 22%     1 - 6 -1.5 +1.0 -3.0
  Nov 29, 2019 105   @ Utah L 73-77 15%     1 - 7 +3.6 +9.2 -5.9
  Dec 04, 2019 229   @ Northern Arizona W 85-66 39%     2 - 7 +18.2 +14.9 +4.3
  Dec 07, 2019 175   Northern Illinois W 66-57 49%     3 - 7 +5.6 -1.8 +8.1
  Dec 14, 2019 228   @ San Diego L 54-58 39%     3 - 8 -4.8 -16.1 +11.3
  Dec 16, 2019 197   Loyola Marymount W 67-65 55%     4 - 8 -2.9 -2.7 -0.1
  Dec 21, 2019 78   @ San Francisco L 84-93 11%     4 - 9 +0.7 +10.4 -9.1
  Dec 29, 2019 139   @ New Mexico L 69-74 21%     4 - 10 -0.1 -5.0 +5.1
  Jan 09, 2020 220   UC Riverside L 59-65 61%     4 - 11 0 - 1 -12.6 -10.9 -1.9
  Jan 16, 2020 306   @ Long Beach St. W 85-82 56%     5 - 11 1 - 1 -2.1 +7.6 -9.8
  Jan 18, 2020 240   @ Cal St. Northridge W 66-62 41%     6 - 11 2 - 1 +2.7 -8.2 +11.3
  Jan 22, 2020 269   Cal St. Fullerton L 74-78 70%     6 - 12 2 - 2 -13.2 -4.1 -8.9
  Jan 25, 2020 214   @ Hawaii L 75-76 35%     6 - 13 2 - 3 -0.7 +6.3 -7.0
  Jan 30, 2020 116   UC Irvine L 65-80 34%     6 - 14 2 - 4 -14.2 -5.9 -8.7
  Feb 01, 2020 317   Cal Poly W 66-51 80%     7 - 14 3 - 4 +2.7 -13.3 +16.0
  Feb 06, 2020 116   @ UC Irvine L 72-83 17%     7 - 15 3 - 5 -4.2 +3.8 -8.2
  Feb 08, 2020 269   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 87-81 48%     8 - 15 4 - 5 +2.9 +14.9 -12.0
  Feb 13, 2020 174   UC Santa Barbara W 84-75 49%     9 - 15 5 - 5 +5.6 +11.1 -5.1
  Feb 15, 2020 240   Cal St. Northridge W 110-98 64%     10 - 15 6 - 5 +4.7 +20.4 -16.5
  Feb 20, 2020 317   @ Cal Poly W 77-62 60%     11 - 15 7 - 5 +8.7 +6.8 +3.1
  Feb 22, 2020 174   @ UC Santa Barbara L 56-70 27%     11 - 16 7 - 6 -11.3 -11.9 -0.9
  Feb 29, 2020 306   Long Beach St. W 77-76 76%     12 - 16 8 - 6 -10.1 -2.9 -7.3
  Mar 05, 2020 214   Hawaii L 65-67 58%     12 - 17 8 - 7 -7.7 -3.6 -4.3
  Mar 07, 2020 220   @ UC Riverside L 61-66 38%     12 - 18 8 - 8 -5.5 -0.6 -5.6
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%